Three mana for a 2/4 with menace is already a tempo-positive opening in TMT: the format's removal at common is Stomped by the Foot, Grounded for Life, and Dimensional Exile, none of which two-for-one you, and the 4 toughness clears the 2/3 and 3/2 common ceiling that most red decks try to attack into. The body alone earns a P1P4-to-P1P6 pick in any UR seat. The attack trigger is where the card stops being a curve filler and starts dictating draft priorities.
UR Artifacts is the obvious home, and it pulls the card up to P1P2 or P1P3 territory if the deck is open: an attack on turn four with two artifacts in play turns any three-mana noncreature spell into a one-mana spell with two mana left for a second cast, and the menace clause means a lone 1/1 Foot Ninja token does not stop the engine. Equip-heavy builds running Bespoke Bō or Novel Nunchaku double-dip, since the equipment counts toward the discount and the equipped Don & Raph hits harder through menace. A UR Sneak deck that leans on cheap noncreature triggers gets less from the affinity clause (sneak wants the body unblocked, not the discount) and treats this as a P1P5 curve-topper instead.
The build-around math punishes thin artifact counts: at one or two artifacts the discount is a rounding error, and the card reverts to a fair menace beater. Maindeck in UR regardless; the ceiling demands the artifact density to show up.


